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NRL Preview: Raiders v Dragons

NRL Betting

The Raiders have arguably been probably the most disappointing aspect this season, whereas the Dragons have been one of many largest shock packets. The Raiders will probably be boosted by the return of hooker Josh Hodgson, whereas the Dragons have named Josh Dugan and Paul Vaughan on an prolonged bench. Tyson Frizell and Euan Aitken are each huge losses for the Red V.

History
The Dragons have gained 4 straight towards the Raiders together with the final two within the ACT after profitable simply 1 of the 17 prior.

Form
Canberra have been the large disappointments of 2017 thus far, sitting 11th on the premiership with a 6-10 document regardless of being second favorite for the premiership at one stage. The Raiders have dropped 4 straight together with their final two by double digits when beginning favorite in each. Canberra have conceded 4 of their six largest scores during the last 4 weeks. St George Illawarra are in free-fall with simply three wins of their final 9 video games – two towards the underside two groups – and are right down to seventh on the ladder with a 9-7 document. The Saints have been held to 10 factors or fewer of their final three video games not towards Newcastle.

Key Matchup
Joseph Leilua v Tim Lafai: It’s been a combined bag from Leilua together with his frustration boiling over in current matches. The Raiders want him to recapture his 2016 type if the Green Machine are to make an unlikely run to the finals. Lafai has been probably the most improved gamers of 2017 and possesses probably the greatest offloads within the recreation. He simply must be extra selective about when he decides to eliminate the ball. There will probably be no love misplaced between these two attacking weapons.

Stats That Matter
– Canberra are 7-9 ATS with an Eight-Eight complete report whereas St George Illawarra are Eight-Eight ATS with a 9-7 underneath document.

– St George Illawarra have gained 4 straight towards Canberra together with the final two within the ACT after profitable simply 1 of the 17 prior.

– Eight of the final 9 matches have topped 40 factors.

– Canberra are 19-27 ATS at Canberra Stadium since 2014 with a 14-19 ATS document as a favorite and a 1-6 ATS (with a 6-1 beneath document) as a favorite of lower than a attempt.

– The beneath is 33-25 when the house favorite has misplaced 4 straight.

– Interstate underdogs of lower than a attempt are 49-20 ATS since 2014.

– The Dragons are 5-2 ATS as an underdog of three.5 or much less on the street.

– St George Illawarra are 23-12 underneath as a street underdog.

– The Saints are 13-6 beneath as a street underdog at night time.

– Canberra have coated simply 2 of their final 7 house night time video games.

Final Thoughts
The Wolf like many others anticipated greater issues from the Raiders this season. Meanwhile, the Dragons have already exceeded expectations, however look weaker on paper this week, particularly if Josh Dugan doesn’t again up from Origin three and Paul Vaughan doesn’t make the ultimate 17. Despite all of that, the Dragons will maintain it easy and again their robust defence to maintain them within the contest. The +5.5 begin for the Dragons appears too massive and is The Wolf’s beneficial play, whereas the Raiders ought to do sufficient to get the 2 competitors factors and maintain their slim hopes of finals soccer alive.

How It’s Shaping Up
Canberra by 2

Best Bet
St George Illawarra +5.5 ($1.91)

Other Recommended Bets
Under 39.5 ($1.88)

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